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楼主: tian.schenkel
 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-19 19:50:00 | 显示全部楼层
大批量制造所需的经济支持
和局势的恶化
两者谁先?
 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-22 13:28:02 | 显示全部楼层
Pope warns against Hitler-like leaders coming to power on wave of populism
link: rt.com/news/374682-pope-hitler-leaders-populism/
Hitler did not steal power,” the Pope said. “He was elected by his people and then he destroyed his people.”
Turkey pursuing realignment with Russia, Iran in Syria peace talks: Pundit
link:  presstv.ir/Detail/2017/01/22/507263/Syria-Kazakhstan-Astana-peace-talks
Hopefully, the Iranian-Turkish-Russian alliance can come to a conclusion where Turkey can perhaps stop certain elements of the opposition, in fact perhaps even the entire rebel militants, from getting any more arms, from being capable of continuing the war. If Iran, Turkey and Russia can come to such a conclusion, essentially the war would be over," the analyst reiterated.
Turkey is now dropping its regime change rhetoric. They are no longer saying that Assad must go and this definitely brings more hope towards a resolution coming forward out of at least Turkey and the Turkish northern Syrian front,"
German Press: "That Was No Presidential Speech; That Was A Declaration Of War"
link:  zerohedge.com/news/2017-01-21/german-press-was-no-presidential-speech-was-declaration-war
"He made his convictions clear in his inauguration speech," Merkel said in remarks broadcast live, a day after Trump vowed to put 'America first'.
The best example of this, so far, is an article penned this morning by Gabor Steingart, chief in chief of Handelsblatt, Germany's leading economic newspaper, who burned all compromise bridges when he said that "that was no presidential speech; that was a veritable declaration of war."
The savage criticism continued:"Threatening in tone. Cold and calculating in logic. Change minus the hope. Donald Trump used the traditional Inauguration Day address to settle a score with the U.S. political establishment going back decades. With four ex-presidents sitting a few feet behind him, the 45th president delivered a populist manifesto."
He notes than any attempts at compromise will fail because "the new president loves a good fight, not consensus. He doesn’t want to hug, but to smother, to overwhelm" and add that "in domestic policy, the Trump agenda sounds like a blueprint for civil war; in foreign policy, it sounds like the dawn of a new ice age."








 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-22 13:57:10 | 显示全部楼层
Where are you headed, globalization?
PAID POST BY CREDIT SUISSE
Thursday, 19 Jan 2017 | 8:00 AM ET
link:   cnbc.com/advertorial/2017/01/19/where-are-you-headed-globalization.html
This year seems to be destined to open a new era in the history of globalization. Various events of 2016 seem to have marked the end of a long phase of globalization driven largely by western multinationals, markets and laws, combined with the startling rise in wealth in emerging economies. Taking into account flows of trade, people, finance and media, the Credit Suisse Research Institute's "Getting over Globalization" report analyzes three potential routes:
Globalization continues along its well-trodden path;
The world becomes multipolar;
We witness the end of globalization.
Expecting the unexpected
The end of globalization is not expected worldwide and would come as a shock. This third scenario painted by the Credit Suisse Research Institute is the darkest and most negative. It is fueled by a slowdown in economic growth and trade, the possibility of a macro shock (e.g. indebtedness, inequality, immigration), or a rise in protectionism, to name just a few factors. The results could be very damaging, and reversing them could take a lot of time and effort. According to the Institute's researchers, we could expect the domination of "national champions" and a consolidation of power among some of them, fragmentation of global financial markets, currency wars, or even open military conflicts. For those looking for historical parallels, the report recalls the end of the first wave of globalization in 1913 and the subsequent onset of World War I.
 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-22 14:14:05 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 tian.schenkel 于 2017-1-22 12:19 编辑

Global Risks 2017
link: http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2017/part-1-global-risks-2017/
Table 1.1: Top 5 Trends that Determine Global Developments
1 Rising Income and wealth disparity
2   Changing climate
3     Increasing polarization of societies
4     Rising cyber dependency
5     Ageing population

Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 2016.
Table 1.2: Most Important Risks’ Interconnections

1     Unemployment and underemployment
Profound social instability
2     Large-scale involuntary migration
State collapse or crisis
3     Failure of climate-change mitigation and adaption
Water crises
4     Failure of national governance
Profound social instability
5     Interstate conflict with regional consequences
Large-scale involuntary migration
Global Risks
A “global risk” is defined as an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, can cause significant negative impact for several countries or industries within the next 10 years.
  

Global Risk

Description
Economic Risks
Asset bubbles in a major economy
Unsustainably overpriced assets such as commodities, housing, shares, etc. in a major economy or region

Deflation in a major economy
Prolonged near-zero inflation or deflation in a major economy or region

Failure of a major financial mechanism or institution
Collapse of a financial institution and/or malfunctioning of a financial system that impacts the global economy

Failure/shortfall of critical infrastructure
Failure to adequately invest in, upgrade and/or secure infrastructure networks (e.g. energy, transportation and communications), leading to pressure or a breakdown with system-wide implications

Fiscal crises in key economies
Excessive debt burdens that generate sovereign debt crises and/or liquidity crises

High structural unemployment or underemployment
A sustained high level of unemployment or underutilization of the productive capacity of the employed population

Illicit trade (e.g. illicit financial flows, tax evasion, human trafficking, organized crime, etc.)
Large-scale activities outside the legal framework such as illicit financial flows, tax evasion, human trafficking, counterfeiting and/or organized crime that undermine social interactions, regional or international collaboration, and global growth

Severe energy price shock (increase or decrease)
Significant energy price increases or decreases that place further economic pressures on highly energy-dependent industries and consumers

Unmanageable inflation
Unmanageable increases in the general price levels of goods and services in key economies
Environmental Risks
Extreme weather events (e.g. floods, storms, etc.)
Major property, infrastructure and/or environmental damage as well as loss of human life caused by extreme weather events

Failure of climate-change mitigation and adaptation
The failure of governments and businesses to enforce or enact effective measures to mitigate climate change, protect populations and help businesses impacted by climate change to adapt

Major biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse (terrestrial or marine)
Irreversible consequences for the environment, resulting in severely depleted resources for humankind as well as industries

Major natural disasters (e.g. earthquake, tsunami, volcanic eruption, geomagnetic storms)
Major property, infrastructure and/or environmental damage as well as loss of human life caused by geophysical disasters such as earthquakes, volcanic activity, landslides, tsunamis, or geomagnetic storms

Man-made environmental damage and disasters (e.g. oil spills, radioactive contamination, etc.)
Failure to prevent major man-made damage and disasters, including environmental crime, causing harm to human lives and health, infrastructure, property, economic activity and the environment
Geopolitical Risks
Failure of national governance (e.g. failure of rule of law, corruption, political deadlock, etc.)
Inability to govern a nation of geopolitical importance as a result of weak rule of law, corruption or political deadlock.

Failure of regional or global governance
Inability of regional or global institutions to resolve issues of economic, geopolitical or environmental importance

Interstate conflict with regional consequences
A bilateral or multilateral dispute between states that escalates into economic (e.g. trade/currency wars, resource nationalization), military, cyber, societal or other conflict.

Large-scale terrorist attacks
Individuals or non-state groups with political or religious goals that successfully inflict large-scale human or material damage.

State collapse or crisis (e.g. civil conflict, military coup, failed states, etc.)
State collapse of geopolitical importance due to internal violence, regional or global instability, military coup, civil conflict, failed states, etc.

Weapons of mass destruction
The deployment of nuclear, chemical, biological and radiological technologies and materials, creating international crises and potential for significant destruction
Societal Risks
Failure of urban planning
Poorly planned cities, urban sprawl and associated infrastructure that create social, environmental and health challenges

Food crises
Inadequate, unaffordable, or unreliable access to appropriate quantities and quality of food and nutrition on a major scale

Large-scale involuntary migration
Large-scale involuntary migration induced by conflict, disasters, environmental or economic reasons

Profound social instability
Major social movements or protests (e.g. street riots, social unrest, etc.) that disrupt political or social stability, negatively impacting populations and economic activity

Rapid and massive spread of infectious diseases
Bacteria, viruses, parasites or fungi that cause uncontrolled spread of infectious diseases (for instance as a result of resistance to antibiotics, antivirals and other treatments) leading to widespread fatalities and economic disruption

Water crises
A significant decline in the available quality and quantity of fresh water, resulting in harmful effects on human health and/or economic activity
Technological Risks
Adverse consequences of technological advances
Intended or unintended adverse consequences of technological advances such as artificial intelligence, geo-engineering and synthetic biology causing human, environmental and economic damage

Breakdown of critical information infrastructure and networks
Cyber dependency that increases vulnerability to outage of critical information infrastructure (e.g. internet, satellites, etc.) and networks, causing widespread disruption

Large-scale cyberattacks
Large-scale cyberattacks or malware causing large economic damages, geopolitical tensions or widespread loss of trust in the internet

Massive incident of data fraud/theft
Wrongful exploitation of private or official data that takes place on an unprecedented scale
  
Trends
A “trend” is defined as a long-term pattern that is currently evolving and that could contribute to amplifying global risks and/or altering the relationship between them.
  

Emerging Technology
Description
3D printing
Innovations in printing using various types of materials to move beyond prototyping and towards increasingly distributed manufacturing and medical applications that range from a greater use of technologies such as contour crafting in construction to the opportunity to develop printed biological materials, such as organ tissues, bone and muscle
Advanced materials and nanomaterials
Innovation in chemistry and physics resulting in the creation of new material substances, smart materials, 2D materials and other breakthroughs in properties and fabrication ranging from thermoelectric properties and shape retention to magnetic and mechanical functionalities
Artificial intelligence and robotics
Advances in automated processes ranging from manufacturing to driverless vehicles and automated knowledge work, enabled by highly competent cyber-physical systems and machines that can substitute for human beings to complete various tasks most often associated with thinking, multitasking, and fine motor skills
Biotechnologies
Innovations in genome editing, gene therapies, and other forms of genetic manipulation and synthetic biology resulting in additions to the registry of sequenced species of animals as well as human DNA, the creation of previously non-existent organisms, and modifications to microbes and organisms for medical, agricultural and industrial applications, including integrating them with electronic and computing advancements
Energy capture, storage and transmission
Breakthroughs in energy technologies, including advanced batteries and fuel cells, orbiting solar arrays, tidal energy capture, wind and bioenergy, as well as advances in nuclear fusion containment, smart grid systems, wireless energy transfer, and increased fuel cell fabrication efficiencies
Blockchain and distributed ledger
Developments in cryptographic systems that manage and verify distributed transaction data on a public ledger, increasing transparency and securing an immutable record for application to cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin as well as for verification of varieties of transactions across industries, especially in financial technologies (FinTech)
Geoengineering
Creation and development of technological processes that intercede in the Earth’s geological and climatic systems, ranging from land reclamation to atmospheric seeding in order to influence weather patterns or remove carbon dioxide
Proliferation and ubiquitous presence of linked sensors
Proliferation and ubiquitous presence of linked sensors, also known as the “Internet of Things”, combined with sophisticated large-scale data analytics that will connect, track and manage physical products, logistics systems, energy grids and more by sending and receiving data over widespread digital infrastructures
Neurotechnologies
Creation of new methods for insight into, and control of, the functionality and processing dimensions of the human brain, allowing for the ability to read, influence and communicate brain activity through various secondary technological dimensions such as smart drugs, neuroimaging, bioelectronic interfaces, machine-brain interfaces and brainwave decoding and manipulation
New computing technologies
Innovations in materials and assemblages used to process or store digital information, such as centralized cloud computing, quantum computing, neural network processing, biological data storage, and optical computing, including new software development, cryptography, and the cybersecurity processes associated with each
Space technologies
Technologies that can be used in space that will increase the ability of both public and private entities to access, explore, and create new forms of value such as microsatellites, reusable rockets, integrated rocket-jet engines, optical and imaging technologies, sensor developments, resource exploitation, laser and communications technologies, space exploration and habitat developments, and techno-scientific breakthroughs that are transferable to the marketplace
Virtual and augmented realities
Development of sophisticated immersive virtual environments that can range from heads-up displays and holographic readouts to fully mixed digital and physical environments and complete virtual worlds and interfaces



 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-24 18:53:05 | 显示全部楼层
Trump administration threatens response to Beijing’s South China Sea territory grab          Published time: 24 Jan, 2017 11:39
https://www.rt.com/usa/374896-trump-china-sea-takeover/
The US is going to make sure that we protect our interests there,” White House spokesman Sean Spicer said Monday.
It’s a question of if those islands are in fact in international waters and not part of China proper, then yeah, we’re going to make sure that we defend international territories from being taken over by one country,” Spicer added.
Tillerson at the time also claimed that such tactics represent steps toward a sharp escalation between Beijing and Washington. He promised to send China a “clear signal that, first, the island-building stops and, second, your access to those islands also is not going to be allowed.”
If Tillersons’ warnings become a reality, “the two sides had better prepare for a military clash,” said an editorial in The Global Times.
“Tillerson had better bone up on nuclear power strategies if he wants to force a big nuclear power to withdraw from its own territories,” it wrote.
Chinese media also said earlier in January that the US is asking for “large-scale war” if it seriously intends to block China’s access to the islands.


Beijing tells Washington to 'speak and act cautiously'Tue Jan 24, 2017 11:21AM
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/201 ... hina-Sea-Hua-Spicer
The United States is not a party to the South China Sea dispute," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying told reporters at a press briefing in Beijing on Tuesday.
"We urge the United States to respect the facts, speak and act cautiously to avoid harming the peace and stability of the South China Sea," Hua said.
China weist US-Pläne im Südchinesischen Meer zurück
Dienstag, 24. Januar 2017, 16:46 Uhr
http://de.reuters.com/article/usa-china-idDEKBN15825X
Experten werteten dies als Andeutung einer Militäraktion oder einer Seeblockade, die zu einer bewaffneten Konfrontation mit China führen könnte. In chinesischen Staatsmedien hatten Tillersons Bemerkungen Warnungen vor Kriegshandlungen ausgelöst.
Nach Ansicht von Experten haben die USA zwar die militärische Fähigkeit, eine Blockade der Inseln mit Kriegsschiffen, U-Booten und Flugzeugen durchzusetzen. Angesichts der erstarkten chinesischen Flotte würde dies aber die Gefahr einer militärischen Eskalation heraufbeschwören.










 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-24 19:15:33 | 显示全部楼层
China Says It Is Ready To Assume "World Leadership", Slams Western Democracy As "Flawed"
by Tyler Durden
Jan 23, 2017 8:01 AM
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-01-23/china-says-its-ready-assume-world-leadership
Without directly referencing the new president, China wrote that democracy has reached its limits, and deterioration is the inevitable future of capitalism, according to the People’s Daily, the flagship paper of China’s Communist Party.
The emergence of capitalism’s social crisis is the most updated evidence to show the superiority of socialism and Marxism," said one of the People’s Daily articles.
"Western style democracy used to be a recognized power in history to drive social development. But now it has reached its limits," said another article on the same page. "Democracy is already kidnapped by the capitals and has become the weapon for capitalists to chase profits."
As Bloomberg observes, the unusual series of commentaries in the People’s Daily mirrors Soviet efforts to promote an alternative political and economic system during the Cold War. The rise of anti-establishment, protectionist politicians like Trump, amid populist winds on several continents, has sent political parties scurrying to shore up their support, helping China to portray itself as relatively steady.
Separately, in comments made by Zhang Jun, director general of the Chinese Foreign Ministry's international economics department during a briefing with foreign journalists to discuss President Xi Jinping's visit to Switzerland last week, he said that China does not want world leadership but could be forced to assume that role if others step back from that position. The senior Chinese diplomat's statement also followed Trump's pledge to put "America first" in his first speech.


NATO is a terror organization, says Turkey's ruling AKP deputy Tayyar
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com ... 7&NewsCatID=338
A ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) deputy has declared that NATO is a “terror organization,” saying the alliance has become a “structure threatening Turkey.”
Turkey has been subjected to coups since it joined NATO. NATO has always been in charge of the dirty and bloody deeds in the country. The 1960 military coup was staged by the British, the 1971 coup was staged by the CIA, and the 1980 coup was staged by NATO. In NATO’s new plan, a Turkey with [President Recep Tayyip] Erdoğan should not exist,” Tayyar said.
NATO exists as a product of the Cold War era. It is unnecessary for us to stay in NATO as it has turned into a structure threatening Turkey rather than protecting it,” he said.
January/23/2017








 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-26 14:40:18 | 显示全部楼层
Euro could collapse in 18 months, predicts Trump’s pick for EU ambassador          Published time: 26 Jan, 2017 09:46Edited time: 26 Jan, 2017 10:13
https://www.rt.com/business/375130-brexit-trump-uk-malloch/
In an interview with the BBC, Malloch predicts the euro "could collapse" in the next 18 months.
"I think it is a currency that is not only in demise but has a real problem and could in fact collapse in the coming year, year and a half…The one thing I would do in 2017 is short the euro,” he told the British broadcaster.
"I am not the only person or economist of that point of view. Someone as acclaimed as Joseph Stiglitz - the World Bank economist - has written an entire book on this subject,” he added.
Malloch added that Washington and London could clinch a free trade deal within 90 days of the UK triggering Article 50 to leave the EU.
"I remind people that the largest merger and acquisition deals in history are often done in about that time frame," he said.
Trump seeks to distance Russia from China, Iran: Analyst
Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:31AM
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/201 ... n-China-immigration
Preston said the actions that Trump is taking are in fact related to his foreign policy agenda, which is aimed at separating Russia from China and Iran.
Referring to Trump’s campaign pledges to reduce US foreign interventionism in favor of focusing on internal issues, Preston argued that the Trump administration is seeking to tone down the animosity that has build up between the US and Russia over the previous administrations of Barack Obama and George W. Bush.
This way, Washington can distance Moscow from Beijing and Tehran, according to the analyst.
“On one hand he (Trump) is going to be more hawkish on China and Iran and more dovish on Russia with the particular goal of disrupting the triangle that has developed,” Preston noted.




 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-29 16:43:22 | 显示全部楼层
China military official says war with US under Donald Trump 'becoming practical reality'Sino-US relations are becoming more tense under America's new administration

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/china-donald-trump-war-us-military-official-practical-reality-president-latest-a7550601.html
Quoted in the South China Morning Post, the official from the Commission’s Defence Mobilisation Department wrote: “A war ‘within the president’s term’ or ‘war breaking out tonight’ are not just slogans, they are becoming a practical reality.”
Further suggestions China is preparing for conflict emerged this week, with unconfirmed reports the military has moved long range missiles closer to the north east border in Heilongjiang province -- within firing range of the US.
Western dominance on the global stage is coming to an end – we are now entering the era of Chinese influenceChina’s economic relations with the Middle East are on a long-term upward trend. Beijing is the region’s largest foreign business partner, now surpassing the US in oil purchases. In the five years leading up to 2009 trade tripled, reaching $115bn


http://www.independent.co.uk/voi ... ntion-a7551791.html
Donald Trump speaks to Angela Merkel - who he accused of 'ruining' her countryDespite criticising her policy on refugees, Mr Trump said she was his favourite world leader

  • Staff Reporter                      Washington DC
  • 16 hours  ago

http://www.independent.co.uk/new ... atest-a7551346.html



 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-30 14:25:56 | 显示全部楼层
How Long Can China's Debt Continue To Grow Before A Systemic Crisis Strikes?

by Tyler Durden
        Jan 30, 2017 2:54 AM
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/20 ... ystemic-debt-crisis
China's debt is set to rise further in the coming years, likely exceeding 300% of GDP within 2 years.
Four factors make a typical systemic debt crisis unlikely for China. Typical debt crises are often liquidity crises of the financial system. In China,

1) over 95% of debt is domestic debt financed mainly via banks;
2) there is a very high domestic savings & under-developed capital markets, so saving largely exists as deposits or quasi-deposits in the banking system to finance debt (Figure 12);
3) capital controls still exist to keep liquidity at home; and
4) a high degree of government control over the financial sector and largest borrowers (SOEs) means that debt restructuring can take place gradually with government coordination rather than in a disorderly manner forced by the market.


So while on net UBS is not yet sounding the alarm on the imminent bursting of the world's biggest debt bubble, here are the four warning signs investors should watch for when it comes to China:
Liquidity (LDR) in the broad banking system after adjusting for shadow credit;
change in profit margins and/or return on assets in the corporate sector;
size of shadow credit relative to traditional banking; and
net capital outflows – persistent large outflows will erode China's domestic liquidity buffer.




发表于 2017-1-30 16:20:34 | 显示全部楼层
tian.schenkel 发表于 2017-1-14 22:01
看来跑题是蚂蚁的一大特色。

以下并非时政分析,但很有意思:

看来楼主很注意这个预言的!我可以告诉你,第三次世界大战本该发生的,但是被神改变了!所以就看起来就是预言不准了!至于为什么,在这里我也没办法解释,只能告诉你这个结果,至于信与不信,你自己决定吧!
 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-30 21:11:35 | 显示全部楼层
US Congress orders review of Russian & Chinese leadership’s nuclear strike ‘survivability’         
Published time: 30 Jan, 2017 12:20
https://www.rt.com/news/375604-r ... lear-survivability/
The comprehensive study will be carried out by the US intelligence agencies as well as the Strategic Command, which is in charge of the American nuclear forces. They will evaluate whether the Russian and Chinese leadership could survive a nuclear attack and continue to operate in a post-strike environment, according to a little-reported section of the 2017 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA).
The review will include “an identification of which facilities various senior political and military leaders of each respective country are expected to operate out of during crisis and wartime,” as well as the “location and description of above-ground and underground facilities important to the political and military leadership survivability.
“Key officials and organizations of each respective country involved in managing and operating such facilities, programs, and activities” should also be identified, says the document,
Congressman Mike Turner (R-Ohio) said in an email to Bloomberg that the US “must understand how China and Russia intend to fight a war and how their leadership will command and control a potential conflict. This knowledge is pivotal to our ability to deter the threat.”
The US and Russia possess roughly 90 percent of the world’s nuclear weapons, while most of them are many times more powerful than the American atomic bombs dropped on the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. A single nuclear warhead, if detonated on a large city, could result in millions of fatalities, with contamination effects persisting for decades.






 楼主| 发表于 2017-1-30 21:13:35 | 显示全部楼层
Russia ready to help Iraq fight Daesh: Lavrov Mon Jan 30, 2017 6:25PM
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/201 ... aesh-Takfiris-Syria

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made the announcement on Monday, saying that Moscow would help Iraq’s anti-terror fight only “with Baghdad’s consent.”
"In broader terms, we should not forget that ISIL (Daesh) is operating not only in Syria, but also in Iraq," Lavrov said in a meeting with his Eritrean counterpart Osman Saleh.
"I do not rule out that, if the Iraqi authorities show interest, we will be able to provide additional support to them, at least in terms of intelligence data, but in other forms as well,” he added.


 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-1 14:44:03 | 显示全部楼层

NATO shares Trump’s desire for dialogue with ‘assertive Russia’ – Stoltenberg         
Published time: 1 Feb, 2017 06:47
https://www.rt.com/news/375869-nato-strength-dialogue-russia/
Stoltenberg said that in recent phone conversations with Donald Trump and US Defense Secretary James Mattis, “they all conveyed the same message that the United States remains committed to NATO and the transatlantic bond.”
“That it’s not only something that they say, but we also see now that the United States is actually increasing its presence in Europe,” the NATO chief said, referring to the recent deployment of US troops and military hardware in Eastern Europe.
The message from the incoming administration is that they also want dialogue with Russia, but it’s based on strength, and I think that’s exactly the same message that we are conveying from the whole Alliance,” Stoltenberg said.
Stoltenberg also confirmed that NATO is continuing to develop the capabilities of its ballistic missile defense (BMD) system that became operational in July, which includes warships, long-range missile defense interceptors, and radar installations spread across NATO states.






 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-1 14:47:41 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 tian.schenkel 于 2017-2-1 12:53 编辑

Iran confirms missile test, spurns foreign interventionWed Feb 1, 2017 11:28AM
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/201 ... solution-2231-JCPOA
US Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley said Iran had “a medium-sized missile launch testing on January 29.”
“The recent test has been in line with our [defense] program, and we do not let any foreigner intervene in our defense affairs,” Defense Minister Brigadier General Hossein Dehqan said on Wednesday.
We have always stated that we never abandon developing and reinforcing our defense foundation in line with our interests,” said the Iranian defense chief, adding that the Islamic Republic does not “require anyone’s permission” in this regard.



 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-1 14:51:50 | 显示全部楼层
Russia freezes Syrian, Iranian military movements
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 31, 2017, 2:00 PM (IDT)
http://www.debka.com/article/259 ... -military-movements
debkafile’s military and intelligence sources report that the order banned the opening of new battlefronts anywhere in Syria and the movement of Syrian air force units between bases.
This order has been obeyed to date.
The ban came from Moscow to prevent military reprisals against the Putin-Trump deal for Syria. There was no mention of penalties for disobedience, but the tone was peremptory. The three army commanders did not need reminding that the Russians are capable of using their electronic warfare systems to disrupt unauthorized military movements, jam their communications, and withhold fuel, ammo and spare parts to create havoc in their armies.
The Russian standstill order in Syria came shortly before the US presidential decree that barred Iranians from entering the United States (along with the nationals of six other terror-prone Muslim countries)
Iran can no longer doubt that the two powers, America and Russia, have ganged up to push the Islamic Republic out of their way. Trepidation in Tehran was articulated on Monday, Jan. 30, at a convention staged in the Iranian capital to celebrate 515 years of Iranian-Russian relations, an anniversary that would not normally be marked by a special event.
In his opening remarks, Foreign Minster Mohammed Zarif Javad said: that Iran and Russia “need to have far more extensive relations,” and “few countries in the world have relations as deep and historical as Iran and Russia.” This sounded like an appeal to Moscow for protection against the new US president. It most likely fell on deaf ears. Putin is fully engaged in promoting his new relations with Donald Trump.



 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-1 18:43:00 | 显示全部楼层
Beijing’s second aircraft carrier set to be based in South China Sea – Chinese media
Published time: 1 Feb, 2017 13:10
https://www.rt.com/news/375920-china-shandong-carrier-sea/
China’s upcoming aircraft carrier, the ‘Shandong’, is to be based near the South China Sea – the area at the center of Beijing’s confrontation with the US and regional neighbors, according to Chinese media.
The rationale behind the decision to place China’s first home-made carrier in disputed waters is to increase the country’s military capabilities and readiness to respond to any “complicated situations,” as the South China Morning Post put it, citing Xiake Dao, a social media account affiliated with the oversees edition of the state-owned People’s Daily.
According to observers, the new carrier is also a signal to Taiwan – which China sees as its integral part – but whose independence has been gaining new traction following the Trump administration’s statements questioning the ‘One China’ policy.



 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-1 22:24:31 | 显示全部楼层
China tests intercontinental missile with 10 warheads – reports
Published time: 1 Feb, 2017 16:54
https://www.rt.com/news/375962-china-mirv-missile-test/
China has reportedly tested a new modification of its Dongfeng-5 ICBM capable of carrying a payload of 10 individual warheads. The test may indicate a shift in China’s nuclear policy or an attempt to put pressure on the Trump administration, experts say.
In the flight test of the DF-5C missile conducted in January, the rocket was fired from the Taiyuan Space Launch Center in central China and to an impact range in the western Taklamakan desert, reports the Washington Free Beacon’s senior editor, Bill Gertz, citing US defense sources.
The missile was carrying a multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle (MIRV) bus containing ten inert warheads. Earlier versions of the DF-5 have either a single warhead or from six to eight MIRVs, according to estimates.
Gertz says the development may indicate a shift in China’s nuclear deterrence policy to modify older rockets with new MIRV busses, which could mean China intends to increase the number of warheads it possesses. It is currently estimated to have about 250. This would, in turn, force the US to review its own deterrence strategy in order to find a balance between China’s growing capacity and Washington’s nuclear limitation commitment to Russia.
Another theory is that the test was part of the development of a MIRVed payload that will eventually be used on the more advanced DF-41 missiles. China tested a DF-41 in April of last year and reportedly deployed some of the missiles earlier this month in the northern Heilongjiang Province, which borders Russia.



 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-2 20:19:56 | 显示全部楼层
Iran's ballistic missile test successful: Defense minister Thu Feb 2, 2017 11:24AM
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/201 ... cessful-Defense-min
“This missile test was successful," the Iranian minister said as quoted by Tasnim News Agency, emphasizing that "Iran's missile tests are not, and have never been, in violation of  the JCPOA (Iran's nuclear deal with six world powers) or [UN Security Council] Resolution 2231.”
This file photo shows a long-range S-200 missile fired in a military drill by Iranian military in the port city of Bushehr, on the northern coast of Persian Gulf. (Photo by AP)
In a Tuesday statement, 220 Iranian lawmakers expressed all-out support for Iran’s Armed Forces, saying “the reinforcement of the defense capabilities of the Islamic Republic of Iran in line with deterrence strategy” is an absolute necessity to ensure the country’s national security.




 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-2 20:23:47 | 显示全部楼层
Threatening Iran is useless’: Supreme leader’s adviser responds to America’s ‘notice’         
Published time: 2 Feb, 2017 17:01
https://www.rt.com/news/376095-t ... ess-missiles-trump/
This is not the first time that an inexperienced person has threatened Iran,” Velayati told Fars News Agency, without naming anyone specific. “The American government will understand that threatening Iran is useless.”
“Iran does not need permission from any country to defend itself,” he added.
On Monday, US officials told Fox News that Iran had tested a Khorramshahr medium-range ballistic missile, which flew 600 miles before exploding.
The recent test was in line with our programs, and we will not allow any outsider to interfere in our defense affairs,” Dehqan told Tasnim News Agency.





 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-3 18:34:10 | 显示全部楼层
US Treasury imposes new sanctions against IranFri Feb 3, 2017 3:27PM
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/201 ... w-sanctions-on-Iran
The administration of US President Donald Trump has imposed new sanctions on multiple Iranian individuals and entities to ratchet up pressure on Iran over its missile program.
The US Treasury Department said in a statement on Friday that it has published a list of 13 Iranian figures and 12 entities facing new sanctions.
According to the statement, the entities include companies based in Tehran, the United Arab Emirates, Lebanon and China.
The Treasury made the announcement a day after President Trump said "nothing is off the table" in terms of a response to Iran's latest ballistic missile test.
Trump also said on Thursday that the White House has formally put Tehran "on notice" over its missile test.
“Iran has been formally PUT ON NOTICE for firing a ballistic missile. Should have been thankful for the terrible deal the U.S. made with them!” Trump tweeted, echoing his national security adviser’s comments a day earlier.
On Friday morning, Trump accused Iran of “playing with fire.”
"Iran is playing with fire -- they don’t appreciate how ‘kind’ President Obama was to them. Not me!," Trump tweeted.



 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-3 18:40:40 | 显示全部楼层
UK minister accuses Russia of MH17 downing & ‘testing’ NATO, Moscow says claims ‘baseless’         
Published time: 3 Feb, 2017 13:59Edited time: 3 Feb, 2017 14:52
https://www.rt.com/uk/376206-fallon-speech-about-russia/
Russia did not allow Ukraine to decide its own destiny like any other sovereign country,” he said. “Instead, under the guise of ambiguous and deniable instruments it annexed Crimea.”
Fallon’s anti-Russia rhetoric didn't stop there. He went on to cite an inquiry by the Dutch-led Joint-investigative Team (JIT) which claims the MH17 tragedy was caused by a “Russian-provided missile.” He said that despite the finding, Moscow continues to deny its role in the tragedy.
Fallon failed to mention, however, that there are numerous issues surrounding that report, including the fact that the Dutch apparently couldn’t read raw radar data provided by Russia, yet failed to ask Moscow for help to decode it.
Russia is clearly testing NATO and the West,” Fallon said, accusing Moscow of “seeking to expand its sphere of influence, destabilize countries, and weaken the alliance.”
“It is undermining national security for many allies and the international rules-based system,” he continued



 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-3 18:56:38 | 显示全部楼层
Iran Just Officially Ditched the Dollar in Major Blow to US: Here’s Why It Matters
February 1, 2017   |   Alice Salles
http://theantimedia.org/iran-ditched-dollar-us-matters/
Following President Donald Trump’s ban on travelers from seven predominantly Muslim countries, the Iranian government announced it would stop using the U.S. dollar “as its currency of choice in its financial and foreign exchange reports,” the local Financial Tribune reported.
Iran governor Valiollah Seif’s central bank announced the decision in a television interview on January 29. The change will take effect on March 21, and it will impact all official financial and foreign exchange reports.
It’s still uncertain how the country will manage to switch currencies without relying on the American currency. The shift, Dudley notes, “will add a degree of currency risk and volatility and is likely to complicate matters for the authorities.”
In the 1970s, the Arab nation struck a deal with U.S. President Richard Nixon establishing an alliance that would maintain the dollar as the standard oil exchange currency in exchange for military support from America. The use of the dollar as a standard currency for oil exchange was accepted by Saudi Arabia and the remaining block of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which include Iran and 11 other Middle Eastern, African, and South American countries.

OPEC countries account for 42 percent of global oil production, holding 73 percent of the world’s oil reserves. Due to its influence, the use of the U.S. dollar as its standard currency helps to keep demand for the U.S. dollar high, giving the currency the support it requires to remain “the world’s reserve currency” and preventing the effects of inflation from hitting the U.S. consumer.






 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-3 19:03:19 | 显示全部楼层


Noam Chomsky, a distinguished professor of linguistics at MIT and a long-time political activist, has called for a “militant labor movement” in the United States to revitalize American politics and take on the Donald Trump administration and the rest of the corporate-owned political establishment.
http://www.inquisitr.com/3932163/noam-chomsky-calls-for-militant-labor-movement-to-transform-american-politics-and-fight-trump/?adm-reveal&use_desktop
In a recent Alternet interview, Noam Chomsky explains the rise of right-wing populist movements in Britain and the United States that led to Brexit and the election of Donald Trump as largely a reaction to the failures of neoliberal policies of the past several decades to improve the lives of working-class people. In fact, these policies have only served to concentrate wealth in the hands of the rich, increase inflation, and keep wages low. In this light, it’s no mystery why people are looking to new solutions.
Noam Chomsky told the interviewer that neoliberal programs “have just cast a huge number of people to the side. These programs have improved corporate profit, kept wages stagnant, and highly concentrated wealth and power. They’ve undermined democracy.”

Chomsky goes on to explain that neoliberal policies in place since the late 1970s in the United States have created a situation where the extremely wealthy are reaping huge rewards while many in the working class are struggling to get ahead.
A militant labor movement in the United States, as Noam Chomsky advocates, could go a long way in challenging the pro-corporate neoliberalism that has dominated both parties in American government since the Reagan administration.




 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-4 22:56:51 | 显示全部楼层
Iran vows to fire ‘roaring missiles’ if threatened, conducts drills         
Published time: 4 Feb, 2017 14:37
https://www.rt.com/news/376316-iran-test-drills-roaring/
Iran has conducted missile and radar tests, with the military vowing to fire “roaring missiles” if the country is threatened. It comes as the US hits Iran with more sanctions and the Pentagon brands Tehran the biggest state sponsor of terrorism.
The latest exercise took place in Semnan Province on Saturday, covering 35,000 square kilometers, and the Revolutionary Guards website said the drills took place to “showcase the power of Iran's revolution and to dismiss the sanctions.”
The drills are aimed at testing home-made missile systems, radars, command and control centers, and cyber-warfare systems, Iranian state news agencies reported, as cited by Reuters.

If Iran’s security is threatened, Tehran will not hesitate to retaliate, the military added in separate remarks.
“We are working day and night to protect Iran's security. If we see [the] smallest misstep from the enemies, our roaring missiles will fall on their heads,” the head of the Revolutionary Guards' aerospace unit, Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh, was quoted as saying by Tasnim news agency.
US Defense Secretary James Mattis :
“We always have the capability to do so but right now I don't think it’s necessary,”



 楼主| 发表于 2017-2-4 23:02:45 | 显示全部楼层
US and Japan carry out missile launch drills in Pacific – Tokyo
Published time: 4 Feb, 2017 17:54
https://www.rt.com/news/376325-japan-us-drills-missile/
A test launch of US/Japan-made anti-ballistic SM-3 missiles in the Pacific Ocean has gone off successfully, Japanese officials said. The test was conducted in cooperation with the United States.
The SM-3 Block IIA missiles were launched from a US warship equipped with the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense System and successfully hit a hypothetical target – a ballistic missile, Japan’s Logistics Agency under the Defense Ministry said, according to Japan’s state newspaper Asahi Shimbun.

The drills took place in the Pacific Ocean near the Hawaiian Islands on Sunday, the agency added.
The SM-3 Block IIA is an upgraded version of the anti-ballistic missile that has been used in the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense System. Both the US and Japan are working together on adjusting the model.
Two ground launch tests of the missile were conducted in 2015, but these drills are the first ones to take place at sea
The US-Japan alliance is critical to ensuring that this region remains safe and secure – not just now, but for years to come,” Mattis said at news conference with Japanese Defense Minister Tomomi Inada, Reuters reported.
The statement repeated what Mattis said earlier this week while on a visit to another US key Asian ally – South Korea.
During his election campaign, US President Donald Trump claimed that both Japan and South Korea were taking advantage of the US security umbrella while not giving back enough in exchange.
“But make no mistake: in my meetings with Japanese leaders, both our nations recognize that we must not be found complacent in the face of the emerging challenges we face.
“As our alliance grows, it will be important for both our nations to continue investing in our defense personnel and capabilities,” Mattis stressed.
In turn, Inada told the same press conference that the question of increasing Tokyo’s financial support for US troops in Japan by Tokyo has not been discussed.
At the same time, Mattis welcomed the decision by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in 2012 to increase defense spending, saying that it was “on the right track.”




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